{"id":17235,"date":"2026-09-23T14:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-23T19:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/?p=17235"},"modified":"2026-09-23T11:10:38","modified_gmt":"2026-09-23T16:10:38","slug":"panama-secures-bbb-rating-backed-by-4-5-growth-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/business-economy\/panama-secures-bbb-rating-backed-by-4-5-growth-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"Panama Secures BBB- Rating Backed by 4.5% Growth Forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&amp;P Global Ratings has reaffirmed Panama&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/business-economy\/how-panama-smes-can-survive-the-86-cyberattack-rate\/\" rel=\"internal\">sovereign credit rating<\/a> at BBB- rating Panama with a <a href=\"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/business-economy\/outstanding-panama-labor-contracts-jump-25-this-year\/\" rel=\"internal\">stable outlook<\/a>, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mef.gob.pa\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ministry of Economy and Finance<\/a> (MEF) announced Tuesday. The decision covers <a href=\"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/travel-transportation-tourism\/metro-expansion-panama-budget-tops-873-million-for-2027\/\" rel=\"internal\">long-term foreign<\/a> and local currency debt, with short-term ratings held at A-3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The agency also maintained Panama&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/ratings\/en\/research\/articles\/240201-transfer-convertibility-assessment-methodology-13000000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">transfer and convertibility assessment<\/a> at AAA, signaling continued confidence in the country&#8217;s ability to service obligations. The announcement comes as Panama projects one of Latin America&#8217;s highest growth rates for 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/panama-canal-economic-growth-1200x800-1-1024x683.webp\" alt=\"Panama Canal Economic Growth\" class=\"wp-image-10094\" srcset=\"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/panama-canal-economic-growth-1200x800-1-1024x683.webp 1024w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/panama-canal-economic-growth-1200x800-1-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/panama-canal-economic-growth-1200x800-1-768x512.webp 768w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/panama-canal-economic-growth-1200x800-1-150x100.webp 150w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/panama-canal-economic-growth-1200x800-1-450x300.webp 450w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/panama-canal-economic-growth-1200x800-1.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">The agency pointed to improved tax collection efficiency and spending rationalization as key factors. By ACP<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Growth Projections Behind the BBB- Rating Panama Decision<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&amp;P expects <a href=\"https:\/\/www.worldbank.org\/en\/country\/panama\/overview\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Panama&#8217;s economy<\/a> to expand by approximately 4.5 percent in 2026, outpacing most regional peers. From 2027 through 2029, growth should settle near 4 percent annually, driven by Canal operations, private construction, air transport, and tourism.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The stable outlook reflects anticipated deficit reduction in 2026 and 2027. S&amp;P said these fiscal improvements will help stabilize debt burdens and interest costs over the medium term. The agency pointed to improved tax collection efficiency and spending rationalization as key factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/panaman-pensioner-discounts-pensionado-discounts-1200x800-1-1024x683.webp\" alt=\"Panaman Pensioner Discounts : Pensionado Discounts\" class=\"wp-image-16083\" srcset=\"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/panaman-pensioner-discounts-pensionado-discounts-1200x800-1-1024x683.webp 1024w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/panaman-pensioner-discounts-pensionado-discounts-1200x800-1-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/panaman-pensioner-discounts-pensionado-discounts-1200x800-1-768x512.webp 768w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/panaman-pensioner-discounts-pensionado-discounts-1200x800-1-150x100.webp 150w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/panaman-pensioner-discounts-pensionado-discounts-1200x800-1-450x300.webp 450w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/panaman-pensioner-discounts-pensionado-discounts-1200x800-1.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">The reform, combined with the 2024 Fiscal Social Responsibility Law amendments, has helped Panama meet its fiscal targets. By Asamblea Panam\u00e1. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pension Reform and Debt Management Strengthen Position<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&amp;P described the pension system overhaul approved in March 2025 as a first-order political and fiscal achievement. The reform, combined with the 2024 Fiscal Social Responsibility Law amendments, has helped Panama meet its fiscal targets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Risk premiums have declined, allowing Panama to re-enter international markets in February 2026. The MEF said the rating confirmation validates its proactive liability management strategy, which aims to improve maturity profiles and reduce financing costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8216;The ratification confirms that prudence and financial discipline yield results. With proactive debt management, we continue strengthening confidence in Panama, an essential condition to accelerate growth and generate well-paid jobs&#8217; [Translated from Spanish]<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Felipe Chapman, Minister of Economy and Finance, made the statement following the announcement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/investor-with-computer-by-inveslo-1200x800-1-1024x683.webp\" alt=\"Investor with computer. By Inveslo.\" class=\"wp-image-16989\" srcset=\"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/investor-with-computer-by-inveslo-1200x800-1-1024x683.webp 1024w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/investor-with-computer-by-inveslo-1200x800-1-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/investor-with-computer-by-inveslo-1200x800-1-768x512.webp 768w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/investor-with-computer-by-inveslo-1200x800-1-150x100.webp 150w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/investor-with-computer-by-inveslo-1200x800-1-450x300.webp 450w, https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/investor-with-computer-by-inveslo-1200x800-1.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">The BBB- rating keeps Panama in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/ratings\/en\/research\/articles\/240620-sovereign-rating-methodology-13000000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">investment-grade territory<\/a>, a status that lowers borrowing costs for both the government and private sector. By Inveslo.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What the Stable Outlook Signals for Investors<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The BBB- rating keeps Panama in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/ratings\/en\/research\/articles\/240620-sovereign-rating-methodology-13000000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">investment-grade territory<\/a>, a status that lowers borrowing costs for both the government and private sector. A downgrade would have pushed the country into speculative territory, potentially triggering capital outflows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&amp;P&#8217;s assessment highlights Panama&#8217;s resilience despite global economic uncertainty. The agency&#8217;s growth forecast places Panama ahead of many regional economies, supported by the Canal&#8217;s expanded capacity and a recovering tourism sector. The stable outlook suggests no rating changes are expected in the next 12 to 24 months barring unforeseen shocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Panama&#8217;s ability to maintain investment grade status while implementing structural reforms demonstrates institutional capacity that international investors closely monitor. The country&#8217;s dollarized economy and banking center position remain key strengths underpinning the rating.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S&amp;P Global Ratings has reaffirmed Panama&#8217;s sovereign credit rating at BBB- rating Panama with a stable outlook, the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF) announced Tuesday. The decision covers long-term foreign and local currency debt, with short-term ratings held at A-3. The agency also maintained Panama&#8217;s transfer and convertibility assessment at AAA, signaling continued confidence<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":17236,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sitemap_exclude":false,"_sitemap_priority":"","_sitemap_frequency":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[30,29],"tags":[7137,1671,7139,50,7138],"class_list":["post-17235","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business-economy","category-politics-government","tag-credit-rating","tag-fiscal-policy","tag-fiscal-reforms","tag-panama","tag-sovereign-credit-rating"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17235","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17235"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17235\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17237,"href":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17235\/revisions\/17237"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17236"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17235"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17235"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/expat-times.com\/panama\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17235"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}